The study, which is published in the 9th report from the WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Modelling within the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, is widely credited for shaping government policies in the U.S. and U.K. on how to handle the pandemic, considered by many to be on the most serious global health crisis in generations.
“We use the latest estimates of severity to show that policy strategies which aim to mitigate the epidemic might halve deaths and reduce peak healthcare demand by two-thirds, but that this will not be enough to prevent health systems being overwhelmed,” explained Neil Ferguson, head of the MRC GIDA team and the director of the Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA). “More intensive, and socially disruptive interventions will therefore be required to suppress transmission to low levels.”
“It is likely such measures – most notably, large scale social distancing – will need to be in place for many months.”...<<<Read The Full Article Here>>>...