According to The Telegraph's election forecast, Trump is projected to surpass the 270-electoral vote threshold needed to win by securing 289 Electoral College votes. Meanwhile, Harris is only predicted to receive 249 votes. The model, which uses extensive historical election trends, demographic analysis and polling data, indicates the strong position of Trump especially in crucial battleground states, including Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina and Wisconsin.
"The model suggests that the Republicans are the most likely to win tightly fought races in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina and Wisconsin," The Telegraph reported. "As of October 30, Trump is also predicted to win Pennsylvania with its 19 Electoral College votes." The former president is also expected to win Florida and Ohio.
Harris, on the other hand, is forecasted to secure Michigan and Nevada among the battleground states, but these wins alone may not be enough to close the gap.
AtlasIntel, a forecasting model known for its accuracy in the 2020 election, has gone a step further. The forecasting model predicts that Trump will win in all seven key battleground states, a scenario that would yield him 312 electoral votes. Such a result would mark a significant Republican advantage – a major shift in voter sentiment since the previous election.
Forecasting models from the Economist, Real Clear Politics, FiveThirtyEight and analyst Nate Silver have also adjusted their projections, now positioning Trump as the likely winner...<<<Read More>>>...
