“Lukewarming” challenges the climate change narrative: A new perspective on global warming

 The authors, both seasoned climate scientists, argue that the climate is indeed changing, but not in the dramatic, catastrophic manner often depicted in media headlines and policy discussions. Michaels and Knappenberger introduce the concept of "lukewarming," a term that encapsulates their belief in a more gradual and less alarming warming trend. They contend that the evidence points to a milder increase in global temperatures than what is commonly projected by climate models.

The book opens with an intriguing examination of the incentive structures within the scientific community. Michaels and Knappenberger suggest that there is a bias toward alarmism, driven by the need to attract funding and attention. They point to the U.S. National Climate Assessments as examples, claiming that these reports often exaggerate the impacts of climate change to support specific policy agendas. As Michaels states, "The incentive to be alarming is strong, as it garners more funding and media coverage."

One of the most compelling aspects of "Lukewarming" is its exploration of the historical context of climate science. The authors highlight that the concept of lukewarming is not new, with contributions from scientists like Judith Curry and Will Happer over the years. They emphasize the importance of skepticism and critical thinking, arguing that the current climate change narrative often lacks these essential elements.

Michaels and Knappenberger also delve into the role of sulfate aerosols in climate models. They argue that these aerosols have been used as a "Band-Aid" to help models simulate past climate conditions more accurately. However, they question the validity of this approach, suggesting that it allows modelers to hold onto their paradigms longer than they should. "The use of sulfate aerosols in models is a double-edged sword," Michaels explains. "While it helps reconcile models with past data, it also masks the uncertainties inherent in our understanding of the climate system."...<<<Read More>>>....