Artificial intelligence (“AI”) programmes are being offered to users for free or at a low cost.
However, the costs of running AI programmes are enormous, including the costs of data centres and equipment, power plants, energy transmission lines and energy grid infrastructure.
So, there’s a gap between what AI costs and the price users pay for it.
Currently, the cost of setting up and running AI programmes is being borne by Wall Street, for example. What happens when investors in AI no longer want to bear the cost but instead want to make a profit?
In the following, Chris MacIntosh discusses three possible future scenarios for AI.
In five years, we’ll all likely be chuckling and shaking our heads over AI. Because today, the tech feels free and limitless, doesn’t it?
People are generating endless content: images, videos, memes, code snippets, social posts. Companies are bolting AI onto products by default, the way every Fortune 500 company suddenly discovered they were “sustainable” five years ago.
There’s much deliberation on AI right now, and it splits into two main camps of thesis: the majority – those who will die on its hill of promise, convinced we’re months away from effective altruism, UBI, and sentient toasters. And the minority – usually older, more experienced types – who don’t fully understand it, but look at numbers, remember the dot-com bust, and think this rhymes. We’ll leave that debate to the dinner parties.
What interests us is something more boring. Physics. Because here’s the thing: AI isn’t free.
Every token represents electricity. Something your average developer, product manager, user, or investor gives precisely zero thought to.
Electricity means power plants, transmission lines, grid infrastructure – yes. It also means hot sheds; capital-intensive data centres and all the equipment, cooling systems, and real estate that go with them. Real things. Physical things.
We are surrounded by hype without consideration for the physics. Right now, there’s a disconnect between the physical cost of this technology and the price users pay for it.
That gap is being covered by Wall Street, venture capital, pension funds, hyperscaler balance sheets and strategic spending on “growth” (a word which here means “losses we’ve chosen to rebrand”).
The question is: what happens when that gap closes?...<<<Read More>>>....
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